What I Learned from Rodger Howell’s M&A Outlook at the ABA Spring Meeting
By Nathan Moore, Moore Law PC
At Moore Law PC, we’re always looking ahead—so attending the ABA Middle Market and Small Business Committee’s Spring Meeting in New Orleans this year was both a professional investment and a welcome reminder of how much opportunity still exists for our clients.
A highlight of the conference was a data-rich, insightful presentation by Rodger Howell, CEO of Houlihan Capital, on the state of middle-market M&A and private equity trends. As an attorney who works closely with business owners on growth, transition, and exit strategies, I found Rodger’s presentation incredibly valuable. Below, I share the key takeaways I’m now applying in my conversations with clients.
Market Conditions: Back to Normal, Not in Decline
Howell opened by addressing a common misconception: that M&A markets are “cooling off.” In truth, while dollar volumes have declined from the 2021 post-COVID surge, transaction volume remains robust—especially in the lower middle market.
2021 was an outlier, not the benchmark. The current climate reflects historical norms. For founders, that’s good news: you haven’t “missed the window.” You just need a clear strategy and the right advisors.
Private Equity: Flush with Capital, Focused on Fit
PE firms are still sitting on significant dry powder, but they’re more cautious about where and how they invest. Instead of chasing inflated deals, they’re favoring platform fits, recurring revenue models, and proven management teams.
One of the most promising trends for our clients is the rise of minority recapitalizations. These structures let owners sell a stake—often 20–40%—to raise growth capital while retaining control. It’s ideal for founders who want to scale without giving up the reins.
Rollover Equity: A Smart Way to “Double Dip”
Rodger highlighted how more deals now involve rollover equity—where a seller retains a partial stake post-transaction. This setup offers a potential second bite at the apple: founders get liquidity now and participate in the business’s future upside.
At Moore Law PC, we’re seeing increasing interest in this approach. It gives our clients flexibility, continued involvement, and the chance to benefit from value creation under new ownership or with capital infusion.
Understanding Valuation: Multiples Are Rational Again
Rodger’s valuation commentary was especially practical. Multiples are down from 2021 highs but stable and healthy—typically around 6x EBITDA for mid-market companies.
He emphasized the size premium: larger businesses receive higher multiples. That means smart investments in growth or acquisitions today can yield substantial value tomorrow. For clients with a $10M goal in mind, now is the time to think strategically about scale.
New Players: Family Offices and Independent Sponsors
Rodger explained that family offices and independent sponsors are now formidable buyers. These groups often bring longer-term outlooks and more flexible deal structures—especially valuable to founders concerned with legacy, culture, or operational continuity.
These buyers can be ideal partners for succession-minded owners or those in specialized sectors like cannabis or regulated industries where institutional capital hesitates.
The Role of Lawyers: Structure, Succession, and Strategy
Ultimately, Rodger reminded us of something we see daily at Moore Law PC: the biggest risks in a deal aren’t just financial—they’re human. Poor succession planning, unresolved family dynamics, or confusion between ownership and control can derail even a perfect offer.
Our role as legal counsel isn’t just to paper the deal—it’s to guide founders through a thoughtful process that respects their goals, protects their interests, and prepares them for what’s next.
Final Thoughts
Rodger Howell’s presentation confirmed what we’re already seeing on the ground: the middle market is active, evolving, and rich with opportunity. If you’re a business owner thinking about growth capital, succession, or exit planning, there’s no better time to start building your strategy.
At Moore Law PC, we help clients position themselves for success—whether that’s preparing for a sale, scaling to the next stage, or structuring ownership for long-term resilience.
If you’d like to discuss your options, we’re here to help.
Moore Law PC – Business Law for Growth, Transition, and Legacy.
Contact us today to learn more about how we support entrepreneurs and closely held businesses at every stage.
You can also download the PDF slides that accompanied this presentation.